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George Magnus is an economist, speaker, and commentator and is an Associate at the China Centre, Oxford University and a Research Associate at the School of Oriental and African Studies. Currently he advises a number of asset management groups.
He predicted a ‘Minsky Moment’ in 2007 as the great financial crisis began to develop. Since then, through the Euro-crisis, through ten years of disappointing growth, through the re-emergence of western populism plus the evolution of a more authoritarian and assertive China, he has posed pertinent questions and offered insight.
Between 2012 and 2016 George Magnus was an externally contracted senior economic adviser to UBS Investment Bank where he had previously been employed in this capacity between 2006-2012, and, prior to this, as Chief Economist at UBS from 1995 to 2006. During this time, he also served as the Chair of the Investment Committee of the Trustee Board of UBS (UK) pension and life assurance fund.
Prior to joining UBS, George Magnus had been Chief Economist at S.G. Warburg, Chief International Economist at Chase Securities and Head of Economics for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Bank of America. He was awarded an MSc. Econ from the School of Oriental and African Studies, did his postgraduate research at the University of Illinois, and taught economics at the University of Westminster and at Illinois.
Today he contributes regularly to the Financial Times, The Times and Nikkei Asian Review comment pages, and writes also for Prospect Magazine. George Magnus is author of The Age of Aging – a study of how deep demographic change is influencing the world, its consequences for both rich and poor countries, and how our societies can create coping mechanisms to address the challenges. He is the author of Uprising: will emerging markets shape or shake the world economy? examining the rise of China and considers controversially whether China is destined to rule the world.
His current book, Red Flags: why Xi Jinping’s China is in Jeopardy, concluded after the Communist Party’s 19th Congress, will be published in 2018 by Yale University Press, and examines the challenges faced by the People’s Republic of China, and how it may cope with Four Traps of debt, currency, demography and middle income. With Xi Jinping now at the centre of power of a strengthened Communist Party that is displacing state institutions, the book examines China’s situation and prospects. It also considers China’s fractious relationship with the US and others over trade, investment and technology, and how much is real and how much is rhetorical in China’s massive Belt and Road Initiative.
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